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The news and analysis archive

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The news and analysis archive
22
Oct

U.S. Richmond Manufacturing Index, BOE Gov Bailey Speak...

The U.S. dollar gained against most of its major peers on Monday, with the dollar index (USDX) up by 0.5% and hitting levels last seen in early August. Safe-haven demand lifted the...

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Wall Street stumbled on mixed earnings and a growing tech war

Wall Street stumbled on mixed earnings and a growing te...

·         Gold scaled a new life time high on escalating Gaza war tensions after Hezbollah drone strikes Israel's PM’s vacation house ·         Overall, US retail sales data indica...

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Pros and cons of AI trading

Pros and cons of AI trading

In recent years, computers have been trained to do things we never dreamed of (or, more correctly, only a few visionaries, in films like Terminator 2: Judgement Day, dreamed). Spec...

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21
Oct

In the week ahead: U.S. Flash Manufacturing & Services ...

The U.S. dollar retreated against most of its major peers on Friday, following five consecutive sessions of gains, with the dollar index (USDX) down by 0.25%. This move coincided w...

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German Dax may stumble on escalating trade war with China

German Dax may stumble on escalating trade war with Chi...

·         Despite the ECB pivot, Germany may be now on the verge of a recession as the manufacturing-savvy economy (led by automobiles) may suffer ·         Escalating trade war na...

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18
Oct

U.K. Retail Sales, U.S. Building Permits & Housing Star...

The U.S. dollar steadied against most of its major peers on Thursday, with the dollar index (USDX) hovering around two-month highs on the back of lower expectations for significant...

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Is the ECB in panic mode to avoid a hard landing of the EU?

Is the ECB in panic mode to avoid a hard landing of the...

·         EU may face a double whammy of Chinese and Trump trade war tantrum 2.0 (if Trump is reelected again); Germany, France, and Italy may suffer the most ·         Despite ave...

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17
Oct

ECB Interest Rate Statement, U.S. Retail Sales, U.S. Jo...

The U.S. dollar strengthened against most of its major peers on Wednesday, with the dollar index (USDX) reaching its highest point in 11 weeks. The move came partly due to Investor...

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US stocks wobbled on mixed earnings, tech woes and Fed talks

US stocks wobbled on mixed earnings, tech woes and Fed ...

·         Overall Fed talks indicate Fed now preparing the market for a pause in Nov’24 and a 25 bps rate cut in Dec’24; Gold surged on the Israel-Iran war of words ·         Fed’s...

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16
Oct

U.K. CPI, U.S. Import Prices, ECB President Lagarde Spe...

The U.S. dollar remained firm at an over two-month high against most of its major peers on Tuesday, with the dollar index (USDX) continuing the recent upward trajectory fueled by a...

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15
Oct

German ZEW Economic Sentiment, Empire State Manufacturi...

The U.S. dollar remained firm at an over two-month high against most of its major peers, with the dollar index (USDX) up by another 0.15% on Monday. This move could be reflecting t...

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US PPI and CPI data indicate stalled core PCE disinflation

US PPI and CPI data indicate stalled core PCE disinflat...

·    Wall Street wobbled Tuesday on mixed report cards and tech woes amid increasing regulatory concern for AI chip sales to China/other countries ·         Fed may pause in No...

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What are the Best Commodities to Trade Online?

What are the Best Commodities to Trade Online?

Commodities markets are the places where people trade in all the materials we need to eat, drink, wash and clothe ourselves, get to work, heat and power our homes and businesses, a...

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14
Oct

In the Week ahead: U.S. Retail Sales, ECB Monetary poli...

The US Dollar (USD) edged slightly higher on Friday after a strong rally throughout the week, driven mainly by the rate differential. The key question for this week is whether the ...

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11
Oct

U.S. Core PPI, UoM Consumer Sentiment, Canada Unemploym...

The dollar traded between gains and losses on Thursday, ultimately closing lower for the day. The dollar index (USDX) formed a trading range between 102.48 and 102.98, where any br...

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Fed may pause in Nov’24 as US core disinflation stalled in Q3

Fed may pause in Nov’24 as US core disinflation stalled...

·         The latest elevated initial jobless claims may be due to a temporary distortion for Hurricane Helene ·         The US average core inflation (CPI+PCE) would be around +3....

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10
Oct

U.S. Core CPI, U.S. Jobless Claims, Tilray & Delta Airl...

The dollar gained sharply against most of its major peers on Wednesday, with the dollar index (USDX) adding another 0.45% to its value and hitting 10-week highs versus the yen whil...

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Wall Street flat on less dovish FOMC minutes and Fed talks

Wall Street flat on less dovish FOMC minutes and Fed ta...

·         At TTM (Q2CY24) EPS around $196 and life time high of around 5800, SPX-500 (Fut), TTM PE is now almost 30; at an extreme bubble zone ·         Overall, Fed talks, FOMC mi...

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9
Oct

FOMC Meeting Minutes, U.S. Wholesale Inventories, Crude...

The U.S. dollar is seen trading sideways for the past two daily sessions, following a substantial appreciation to a seven-week high, providing some relief to the Japanese yen and o...

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8
Oct

German Industrial Production, U.S. Trade Balance, FOMC ...

The dollar took a breather on Monday, following five consecutive daily gains that took it to seven-week highs. The dollar index (USDX) was down slightly by 0.03% as investors antic...

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