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The news and analysis archive
1
Jul

US Stocks Up on Trade Hopes; Dollar Down on Rate Cut Be...

The US Dollar Index (USDX), which tracks the dollar's performance against six major currencies, extended its losing streak on Monday, hovering around 97.20 during European trading ...

calendar 01/07/2025 - 08:19 UTC
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Nifty stumbled as US-India trade deal talks may stall

Nifty stumbled as US-India trade deal talks may stall

·       India is not ready to open up the politically sensitive farm sector for US products, despite Trump’s tall claim; for India, it’s a non-negotiable red line ·       The farm ...

calendar 30/06/2025 - 20:00 UTC
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30
Jun

In the week ahead: ISM Manufacturing, Non-Farm Payrolls...

The US Dollar (USD) continued its decline against most major peers on Monday, with the US Dollar Index (USDX) dropping by another 0.15% to hover above 96.6 as of 06:41 AM GMT. This...

calendar 30/06/2025 - 07:19 UTC
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Dow surges on ease of Trump’s Fed, Trade, and Iran war tensions

Dow surges on ease of Trump’s Fed, Trade, and Iran war ...

·       A preliminary US trade deal with China and India is ready for an imminent official announcement; Trump may also extend the tariff pause to December 2025 ·       After the c...

calendar 27/06/2025 - 13:00 UTC
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27
Jun

Core PCE Price Index, UoM Consumer Sentiment & Inflatio...

The US Dollar (USD) continued its decline against most major peers on Thursday, with the US Dollar Index (USDX) dropping by another 0.36% and breaking below the 97.00 mark. This sl...

calendar 27/06/2025 - 07:30 UTC
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26
Jun

U.S. GDP, Jobless Claims, Pending Home Sales

The US Dollar (USD) fell against most major peers on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (USDX) dropping 0.27%. This decline continued into Thursday's Asian session, pushing the in...

calendar 26/06/2025 - 07:37 UTC
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25
Jun

Fed Chair Powell Testifies, U.S. New Home Sales, Crude ...

The US Dollar (USD) fell against most major peers on Tuesday, with the US Dollar Index (USDX) dropping 0.42% and nearing its multi-year low of 97.18 from earlier this month. This m...

calendar 25/06/2025 - 07:42 UTC
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Powell testimony indicates rate cuts from September, not July

Powell testimony indicates rate cuts from September, no...

·       Although Powell sounded less hawkish in Congressional testimony than last week on Fed presser, Powell will be on wait & watch in July ·       Powell/Fed is waiting for Trum...

calendar 25/06/2025 - 07:00 UTC
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Gold and oil slip on Iran war ceasefire by Trump; Dow surged

Gold and oil slip on Iran war ceasefire by Trump; Dow s...

·       Trump mediated an immediate informal ceasefire after providing Iran a face-saving exit by allowing it to fire missiles at an empty US airbase in Qatar ·       But the poten...

calendar 24/06/2025 - 08:00 UTC
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24
Jun

Fed Chair Powell Testifies, CB Consumer Confidence, Ric...

The US Dollar fell against most of its major peers on Monday, with the US Dollar Index (USDX) down by 0.54% and retreating from two-week highs. The US Dollar (USD) is seeing its sa...

calendar 24/06/2025 - 07:36 UTC
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Will oil surge after US bombing of Iran’s nuclear facilities?

Will oil surge after US bombing of Iran’s nuclear facil...

·       Although both Israel and the US are now ready for de-escalation, Iran may not give up easily due to domestic political compulsion ·       The US has to provide Iran some ‘o...

calendar 23/06/2025 - 16:00 UTC
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23
Jun

In the week ahead: Core PCE Price Index, U.S. GDP, Powe...

The US Dollar traded mostly unchanged against its major peers on Friday, hovering near two-week highs, with the US Dollar Index (USDX) fluctuating within a tight range for the past...

calendar 23/06/2025 - 07:34 UTC
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Stocks and gold wobbled on Trump’s Iran and tech war suspense

Stocks and gold wobbled on Trump’s Iran and tech war su...

·       Iran war may linger more than two weeks; Oil may gain as Iran rejects further talks with the US unless Israel stops the aggression ·       China may be actively supporting ...

calendar 20/06/2025 - 18:00 UTC
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20
Jun

Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, FOMC Monetary Policy Re...

The US Dollar Index (USDX) is extending its losses for a second consecutive day, trading lower around 98.70 as markets brace for the Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Report due Fr...

calendar 20/06/2025 - 07:18 UTC
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19
Jun

Mideast Turmoil Shakes Global Markets, UK Interest Rate...

The US Dollar Index (USDX) is extending its gains for a third consecutive session, trading higher around 99.10 during Asian hours on Thursday. The Greenback continues to strengthen...

calendar 19/06/2025 - 07:26 UTC
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Dow, Gold slips on a hawkish hold by the Fed; USD surged

Dow, Gold slips on a hawkish hold by the Fed; USD surge...

·       Fed may cut 25 bps each in September/October and December’25; if Trump’s tariff takes a definitive shape by then, with a weighted average rate of 15.5% ·       In that scen...

calendar 18/06/2025 - 15:00 UTC
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18
Jun

FOMC Statement, US Jobless Claims, US Housing Starts

The US Dollar Index (USDX) saw little movement on Wednesday, trading around 98.70 during Asian hours, as traders adopted caution ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisi...

calendar 18/06/2025 - 07:32 UTC
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Gold, Stocks wobbled on Trump’s flip-flops on Iran mini war

Gold, Stocks wobbled on Trump’s flip-flops on Iran mini...

·       Trump may be trying for last-minute diplomacy with Iran before going to destroy Iran’s suspected underground nuke facilities with a bunker-busting bomb  ·       Trump’s abr...

calendar 17/06/2025 - 15:15 UTC
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17
Jun

Israel-Iran conflict escalates, Oil & Gold Rattled, All...

The US dollar traded almost unchanged for yet another session on Monday, with the dollar index (USDX) registering a mere 0.13% loss on the iFOREX platform. This comes as the deadly...

calendar 17/06/2025 - 07:40 UTC
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Oil spikes on escalated Iran-Israel mini war; what’s next?

Oil spikes on escalated Iran-Israel mini war; what’s ne...

·       If Israel indeed targets Iranian oil & gas facilities in response to Iran’s missile attack on Israeli civilian areas, oil may further surge to $85-105 ·       As of now, th...

calendar 16/06/2025 - 15:00 UTC
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